A Gateway to Understanding the Global Economy with Clarity, Depth, and Real Insights
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AI and job displacement is transforming the future of work by accelerating automation, exaggerating productivity gains, and deepening wage polarization. As artificial intelligence spreads across labor markets, middle-wage jobs decline, labor’s income share falls, and economic adjustment costs shift toward workers rather than firms. Introduction: AI and Job Displacement AI
The AI productivity paradox refers to the persistent gap between rapid advances in artificial intelligence and weak aggregate productivity growth. Despite large-scale automation and digital investment, economic expansion remains subdued
The global recession risk index 2025–2026 measures where the next global economic shock will most likely turn into a full-scale emerging-market crisis. Recessions do not begin with falling GDP numbers.
Trump Doctrine and World War III are increasingly connected as U.S. foreign policy shifts toward resource nationalism, regime pressure, and rejection of international legal constraints. From Venezuela and Iran to
Middle class inflation pressure explains why prices are not falling fast enough. Sticky services inflation, rising housing costs, and wage-price mismatches continue to erode real incomes across advanced and emerging
This blog explains takaful and waqf fund by examining Qur’anic principles of collective responsibility, zakat, waqf, and the aqilah system. It also analyzes contemporary Islamic takaful models to clarify how
اسلامی تصورِ تکافل اور وقف فنڈ کی تفصیلی وضاحت، جس میں قرآنی کفالت، اجتماعی ذمہ داری، زکوٰۃ، وقف، عاقلہ، اور مرَوَّجہ اسلامی تکافل کے ادارہ جاتی ماڈل کا فقہی و
Structural Injustice of TVM analyzes how the time value of money transforms time into guaranteed income, producing inequality, debt dependence, and financial instability. It contrasts this framework with Islamic economic
The KP Institutional Leakage framework explains why the KP Economic Crisis persists despite repeated policy announcements and budget allocations. Economic stress in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa no longer stems only from inflation
Red Sea shipping inflation has become a structural driver of global price pressures. Prolonged maritime disruptions, higher freight rates, and elevated insurance premia are feeding into energy, food, and import
Pakistan minerals economy is gaining global attention as demand for copper, lithium, and rare earths rises. This Weekly Economic Brief examines mineral reserves, global demand trends, weak value chains, regional
Climate-driven food inflation is increasingly shaping global economic outcomes as climate shocks, supply disruptions, and policy responses interact across food markets. However, unlike past price spikes, current food inflation pressures
State fragility and economic spillovers are increasingly shaping economic outcomes across emerging and conflict-exposed economies. Rather than remaining isolated political crises, current fragility is both multidimensional and persistent. In particular,
Food inflation in emerging economies remains stubbornly high despite easing global inflation. Using cross-country data and IMF and FAO insights, this analysis explains why food prices remain sticky, how this worsens cost of living pressures, and why monetary policy alone cannot resolve food-driven inflation stress. Introduction Food inflation in emerging economies remains one of the most persistent sources of economic stress in 2025–2026. Although global headline inflation has declined sharply,
Pakistan Energy Crisis analysis shows how oil import dependence, exchange rate pressure, and inflation pass through create a self reinforcing loop. It explains why energy shocks drain reserves, worsen fiscal
China’s growth strategy 2026 is taking shape through expanded public investment and strategic infrastructure. As Beijing prepares for the 15th Five-Year Plan, nearly 295 billion yuan has been approved for
This analysis explains how weaker global demand, shipping disruption, trade policy uncertainty, and supply chain stress slowed exports. Specifically, it examines macroeconomic pressure, employment risks, balance of payments stress, and
PIA privatization marks a major reform milestone as the Arif Habib consortium secures a Rs135bn bid. This data-driven analysis explains the fiscal losses, operational inefficiencies, and economic impact behind the
The Sri Lanka debt crisis shows how fiscal weakness, foreign exchange shortages, creditor complexity, and delayed restructuring led to default. This data-driven analysis explains causes, IMF-led stabilization, social costs, and
Egypt currency devaluation explains how foreign exchange shortages, rising debt, and delayed adjustment triggered a persistent inflation spiral. This data-driven analysis examines causes, IMF interventions, social costs, and lessons for
The Arctic resource power shift is reshaping the global geopolitical landscape. What was once a frozen and remote region is now becoming a strategic prize, and this transformation is accelerating. Because climate change is melting polar ice, new resources and sea routes are rapidly emerging. As a result, polar resource
Venezuela and the petrodollar reveal how de-dollarization carries economic and political costs. This editorial examines oil pricing, dollar supremacy, sanctions, and coercive enforcement to explain why Venezuela emerged as a test case for defending the petrodollar system. Introduction Debate surrounding Venezuela and the petrodollar often appears fragmented in mainstream commentary.
Trade routes weaponization is no longer a theoretical framework debated in academic circles. Instead, it has become a lived reality of global commerce. Shipping lanes, canals, and maritime chokepoints once symbolized efficiency and interdependence. Today, however, they increasingly function as instruments of pressure, disruption, and strategic signaling. At first glance,
Global recession risk 2026 remains elevated despite moderate growth forecasts. This analysis examines early warning indicators, financial and fiscal vulnerabilities, and coordinated policy responses for central banks and finance ministries facing rising global fragility. Executive overview The global recession risk 2026 has become a central concern for policymakers as the
Climate adaptation fiscal risk is emerging as a central challenge for emerging economies. This policy note examines how rising adaptation spending pressures public budgets, interacts with debt sustainability, and reshapes fiscal policy choices, while outlining strategies to manage climate risks without undermining macroeconomic stability. Introduction Climate adaptation financing is becoming
Gold silver price surge in 2025 highlights rising geopolitical tensions, Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, and growing safe-haven demand. This policy note explains record gold and silver prices and what they signal for monetary policy credibility, financial stability, and investor behavior. Introduction Precious metals price surge dominated global commodity markets
Structural youth unemployment examines why youth joblessness is becoming entrenched across emerging and developing economies. Skills mismatch, AI disruption, weak labor demand, and rising NEET populations are driving long term
Global debt risks 2026 explain why total debt above 330 percent of global GDP is elevating financial stress across sovereign, corporate, and household sectors. Rising interest costs, slowing credit, and
AI job disruption 2026 highlights how artificial intelligence is reshaping employment patterns. While technology, finance, and healthcare accelerate AI adoption, roles in customer service, office support, and media face rising